Nov 20, 2023
It goes without saying that a poll's validity can vary wildly from poll to poll depending on a number of factors, such as methodology and margins for error. Polling can also generally be affected by the institution conducting it. One would generally assume more favorable outcomes for Democrats when polling is conducted by more left-leaning outlets, like The Washington Post, while one may expect more Republican-favoring outcomes from polls conducted by more centrist outlets, like the Wall Street Journal. Given that, it's hardly a surprise that NBC News polls looking at hypothetical Joe Biden - Donald Trump match-ups (dating back to when Trump was the incumbent and Biden was the challenger) have always tilted in the Democrat's favor. Until now. For the first time ever, an NBC News poll pertaining to a Biden-Trump hypothetical general election match-up has tilted in Trump's favor - ever so slightly. (Of note, as NBC News is quick to point out, "the deficit is well wit